I’ve thought McCain was going to win since he picked Sarah Palin as his V.P. And while I would be lying if I said I didn’t have my doubts at some points between then and now, I have been confident the American people would deliver. Let’s take a look at what’s going McCain’s way in the closing days:
The latest solid voter findings are in, and they look good for McCain. American’s living in Israel voted and McCain won in a landslide; 76% to 24%! Now I know this is not a huge amount of voters, but the obvious benefit is that the American Jewish population will love this if they do see it (they’ll have to watch FOX, no one else is going to report this much), and they make up a decent portion of voters in Florida, which is a key state. But the more subtle benefits are even greater: 46% of registered democrats living in Israel say they voted for McCain, while only 2% of registered conservatives voted for Obama. If this trend holds true on Tuesday, we could see McCain take this election by a larger margin than anyone would have predicted.
Barack is campaigning in Iowa. This is substantial because the latest polls are giving him a double digit lead. Now obviously his internal polls are showing something different, because common sense would say that if you are leading by double digits why on earth would you spend time in a state 2 days before an election? On top of that, the McCain campaign has said that its a “dead tie” in Iowa.
Pennsylvania. The latest, most reliable public polls are showing a mere 4 point lead for Barack. This coming after he had double digit leads as recently as a week ago, according to those same polls. I can’t imagine what the internal polls are now saying for this one. I standby the statement I made a week or two ago that McCain will win Pennsylvania.
The latest Zogby poll actually puts McCain AHEAD by 1 point. I know that a one point lead is not much, but it’s something. It just shows that McCain is truly gaining ground nationally. Especially considering that same poll has had Obama ahead by double digits in the past two weeks.
These are just a few of the highlights of the last few days. Hopefully this trend will continue and I’ll have some more things to be happy about real soon!